今年艺术品拍卖表现良好，艺术品市场正在强势复苏，疫情防控常态化下已经后遗症，市场将何去何从？

　　This year's art auctions have performed well, and the art trading market is recovering strongly. Under the normalization of epidemic prevention and control, there are already sequelae. Where will the market go?

　　疫情对艺术行业影响到底有多大？

　　How much impact has the epidemic had on the art industry?

　　疫情是否会造成艺术品行业的衰退？

　　Will the epidemic cause a decline in the art industry?

　　答案是：否定的。

　　The answer is: no.

　　据了解，欧美发达的财产投资组合中，对文化艺术品的投资占比达20%，而在国内一线城市中，这个比例仅为5%。而根据胡润研究院发布的权威数据统计指出，预计到2028年，这个数字有望突破30万亿元。

　　It is reported that in the property investment portfolios of developed countries in Europe and America, investment in cultural and artistic works accounts for 20%, while in first tier cities in China, this proportion is only 5%. According to authoritative data released by Hurun Research Institute, it is expected that this number will exceed 30 trillion yuan by 2028.

　　这也意味着，十年之后，如果国内能实现家庭、个人财产对文化艺术品的投资达到欧美20%的水平。

　　This also means that in ten years, if China can achieve a level of 20% investment in cultural and artistic works by families and personal property compared to Europe and America.

　　那么届时，国内的艺术品投资市场规模将达到6万亿元。要知道，国内目前的艺术品市场规模只有几千亿元。

　　So by then, the domestic art investment market in China will reach a scale of 6 trillion yuan. You should know that the current art market size in China is only a few hundred billion yuan.

　　也就是说，未来十年内，艺术品市场将从几千亿的规模猛增到六万亿，市场需求和容量将扩大10倍左右，国内艺术品市场将名副其实迎来发展“黄金期”。

　　That is to say, in the next decade, the Chinese art market will soar from several hundred billion to six trillion, with market demand and capacity expanding by about 10 times. The domestic art market in China will truly usher in a "golden period" of development.

　　诚然，一个市场连续十年增长并非“奇迹”，而若能在十年的时间实现十倍以上的增长，就不得不说是个“奇迹”，而上一个发生在的“奇迹”就是房地产：2008年房地产GDP才1.27万亿，而到了2017年，这个数据就变成了10.98万亿，十年间增长了近十倍。

　　Undoubtedly, a market that has grown continuously for ten years is not a "miracle", and if it can achieve more than ten times the growth in ten years, it must be said to be a "miracle". The last "miracle" that occurred in China was the real estate industry: in 2008, China's real estate GDP was only 1.27 trillion yuan, but by 2017, this data had become 10.98 trillion yuan, an increase of nearly ten times in ten years.

　　艺术品本身就具备极强的“增值保值”属性，意大利收藏家贝利尼就曾说过：“世界上只有艺术品是有价值的，股票的平均增值率是40%，而艺术品的增值率是95%”。前段时间网上盛传的一段“王健林谈艺术品收藏”的视频无疑也印证了贝利尼的话。

　　Artworks themselves possess strong "appreciation and preservation" properties. Italian collector Bellini once said, "Only artworks are the most valuable in the world. The average appreciation rate of stocks is 40%, while the appreciation rate of artworks is 95%. A video recently circulating online titled 'Wang Jianlin Talks about Art Collection' undoubtedly confirms Bellini's words.

　　眼下，当楼市回归“房住不炒”的理性，大量的社会资产、财产将失去“增值、保值”的重要渠道。当此之时，艺术品市场迎来大发展，正是大势所趋。

　　At present, when the real estate market returns to the rationality of "housing for living, not speculation", a large amount of social assets and property will lose important channels for "appreciation and preservation". At this time, the art market is experiencing significant development, which is the trend of the times.

　　未来十年，随着金融资本大量进入艺术品市场，艺术品将变成一种投资品，其“保

　　In the next decade, with a large amount of financial capital entering the art market, art will become an investment product, and its "protection

　　值、增值”的金融属性将被无限放大。

　　The financial attributes of value and appreciation will be infinitely magnified.

　　尽管艺术品不像“衣食住行”那样，是生活必需品，但“增值、保值”却是实实在在的“刚需”。

　　Although art is not a necessity like "clothing, food, housing, and transportation", "appreciation and preservation" are tangible "necessities".

　　未来十年，当人们逐渐解决“衣食住行”难题，如何让资产、财产“增值、保值”，就是的“刚需”市场。并且，这种“刚需”不只针对富人，也针对普通家庭。

　　In the next decade, as people gradually solve the problem of "clothing, food, housing, and transportation", how to make assets and property "appreciate and preserve value" will be the biggest "essential demand" market. And this' essential need 'is not only targeted at the wealthy class, but also at ordinary families.

　　可以说，未来十年，投资艺术品及艺术衍生品将成为“全民刚需”，6万亿的新兴庞大市场已经到来。上一个十年，我们躺在房地产上“数钱”，下一个十年，我们将枕着艺术品“入梦”！

　　It can be said that in the next decade, investing in art and art derivatives will become a "national necessity", and the emerging huge market of 6 trillion yuan has arrived. In the last decade, we lay on real estate to 'count money', and in the next decade, we will 'dream' of art under our pillows!

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